Müller's number-dependent theory supposes that, while they learn
to avoid the pattern of an unpalatable insect, predators kill a constant
number, nk(i) of each morph i per unit
time in a given area. Assuming the local population has constant size (N)
and contains a novel pattern (A) and a "wild-type" pattern (a),
Müller's theory can give the strength of frequency-dependent selection
for or against the pattern A at different frequencies (qA)
in the population. The fitness of A is WA = 1
- (nk(A)/qAN), while that of
a
is
Wa = 1 - [nk(a)/(1-qA)N].
The measure of frequency-dependent selection acting on A
relative
to a used here is SA = (WA/Wa)
- 1; if SA is positive, A is favored, if SA
is negative, A is disfavored. The dashed and solid lines show the
frequency-dependence for a low total population size (N = 10) and
a high total population size (N = 100), respectively, relative to
nk(A)
and nk(a) (the fractions nk/N
are important, rather than absolute values of nk and
N). In contrast, linear frequency-dependent selection has been more
normally used to study the population genetics of warning color and mimicry
(37, 47, 54, 91, 93), for example where WA = 1 - sA(1
- qA), and Wa = 1 - saqA.
This model gives the frequency-dependence shown in the dotted curve of
the figure. In both number-dependent and frequency-depenedent selection,
values of s and nk have been chosen to give an
unstable equilibrium frequency of qA* = 0.4, which could
be the case if A has 1.5× greater fitness than
a.